Sharm el-Sheikh HESH Post-War Departures Are 2.06x Arrivals (37 vs. 18) — Net Outflow Pattern Reveals the Airport Is a One-Way Evacuation Channel, Not a Two-Way Alternative Hub

While HESH business jet movements surged 270% post-Iran-Israel war, departures at 37 far exceeded arrivals at 18, with a departure/arrival ratio of 2.06:1. Route destinations concentrated on Athens (5), Cairo (4), Muscat (4), and Istanbul (4), while arriving origins included Muscat (4), Istanbul (3), and Moscow (2). This asymmetric structure indicates HESH is not functioning as an alternative hub absorbing LLBG's role, but rather operating as a one-way evacuation/dispersal transit point — personnel flowing outward from the conflict zone via HESH toward the Mediterranean and Gulf. For business jet operators, HESH's empty-leg (deadhead) ratio is extremely high, creating arbitrage opportunities for positioning return missions. Additionally, whether HESH's ground support infrastructure (fuel, customs, parking) can sustain this abnormal traffic level warrants monitoring. Confidence: ★★ (AviGo data internally consistent, departure/arrival asymmetry signal is clear).