Manila RPLL Business Jet Movements Plunge 43.2% YoY (Daily Average from 13.9 to 7.9), While Tokyo Haneda and Osaka Kansai Remain Stable — Philippines Traffic Was Already Declining Well Before the Energy Emergency, Suggesting Structural Rather Than Event-Driven Causes

AviGo data shows RPLL recorded 79 business jet movements during March 15–24, down 43.2% from the 2025 comparable period of 139 [AviGo-1,2]. Key finding: the Philippines did not declare its national energy emergency until March 24, but the traffic decline was already sustained throughout the entire statistical window (below prior year from March 15 onward), indicating the contraction was not triggered by the emergency but by earlier structural factors. Concurrently, RJTT showed only +0.9% and RJBB +4.5% [AviGo-3,4,5,6] — Japan's market resilience remained intact. RPLL day-by-day data shows further deterioration after March 22 to daily average 4.3, with the energy crisis potentially accelerating an existing downward trend. For Brokers and FBOs operating in the Philippines, the demand contraction magnitude far exceeds seasonal variation. Confidence: ★★ (AviGo dual-year data + energy emergency news corroboration).